Maybe Not SAFE, But Maybe Not Sorry Either
The SAFE Act was re-introduced by Rep. Earl Perlmutter (D-CO) this week, sparking a wave of cannabis news, and buzz about the effect of the reintroduction on U.S. cannabis company valuations. The Act explicitly allows banks and other financial institutions to accept proceeds sourced directly from state-legal cannabis businesses, an area right now which is murky. Many were hopeful that this version of the SAFE Act would include a safe harbor for stock exchanges as well as banks to allow U.S. MSOs to uplist to NYSE and NASDAQ, but it did not (yet, it may work its way in). Investors now set to work trying to read the tea leaves of current political developments to see what it means for U.S. MSO stocks - but a little bit of nuance is important here.To vastly oversimplify, all stocks’ long term performance depends on two factors: operations (i.e., how much profit the business actually produces), and perception (i.e., what multiple investors are willing to value these earnings - basically a proxy that combines a perception of how “safe” and repeatable these earnings are with a view on how quickly they will grow in the future).